Economic Commentary - HilltopSecurities

By Scott McIntyre, CFA

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Economic Commentary

Latest Insights

Mixed Data Unlikely to Sway Fed Members

The highlight of this morning’s slate of economic data was the initial release of fourth quarter GDP, which grew by...

Yields Slide as Producer Prices Retreat

This morning, the December producer price index (PPI), like CPI last week, indicated further deceleration of price pressures. This suggests...

This Week’s News that isn’t CPI

Yesterday’s December CPI report dominated headlines, but there were several other economic releases this week worth a mention, the majority...

Markets Signal Smaller Rate Hike in Feb on Negative CPI Reading

The overall consumer price index (CPI) fell by -0.1% in December, the first negative reading in 32 months, while the...

Markets Rally Big on Slower Wage Gains

U.S. businesses added the fewest jobs to company payrolls in two years, while the unemployment rate fell back to a...

Economic Summary – Q4 2022

The U.S. economy appeared stubbornly resilient in the final quarter of 2022, despite the Fed’s efforts to suffocate growth. The...

Fed Minutes Caution, Factory Outlook Sours, and Jobs Postings Linger

The minutes to the December FOMC meeting reiterated a point the markets had chosen to ignore: Committee members don’t intend...

Final Revision to Q3 GDP and Housing Data Highlight the Week

This week’s economic data has done little to alter the landscape and, if anything, has merely reinforced what we already...

Weakening Retail Sales and a Surprising Hawkish ECB Announcement

This morning as expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) followed the Fed’s lead with a 50 bp rate hike, and...

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