Economic Commentary - HilltopSecurities

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Economic & Trading Commentary

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Odds and Implications of a Government Shutdown

It’s increasingly unlikely that members of Congress will pass the required budget agreements or grant themselves additional time through a...

Fed Holds Rates Steady, but Hawkish Dots Push Bond Yields Higher

This afternoon, Fed officials voted unanimously to hold the overnight funds target steady at 5.25% to 5.50%. The September pause...

Yields Edge Higher as Consumer Spending and Producer Prices Top Forecasts

The total value of retail sales in the U.S. surprised to the upside once again as August sales climbed +0.6%,...

Expected Rise in August CPI Unlikely to Alter Fed Path

The August Consumer Price Index (CPI) was expected to be a bit hot (and it was) but there were enough...

Bond Yields Rise as Service Managers Signal Improvement

With two weeks remaining before the next FOMC meeting, most Fed officials seem to support a September pause. At this...

Transformative Technology and its Economic Impact

Advances in generative artificial intelligence heightened the potential impact of technological advancement into the mainstream in recent months. Our HilltopSecurities...

August Labor Report Supports Fed Pause in September

The August employment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) indicated welcomed softness in the labor market, providing cover...

Bond Yields Lower on Slightly Weaker Data

This morning, second quarter GDP was revised downward from +2.4% to +2.1%, while the GDP price index was lowered from...

Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech Reiterates Higher-for-Longer Fed Policy

This morning in a widely-anticipated keynote speech at the annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, Chairman Powell led with a strong...

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