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Economic Commentary
Consumer Spending Perks up as the Quarter Ends
GDP growth has clearly slowed in the third quarter, but consumer spending should enter the final quarter of the year with solid momentum. Retail...
Market Yields Mixed as Inflationary Pressure Persists
All eyes are on inflation, and the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) indicates it isn’t receding as Fed officials had expected. Last month’s...
Making Sense of Another Head-Scratching Payroll Miss
Nonfarm payrolls rose by just +194k in September, well below the +500k median forecast and all but one of the 71 economist forecasts tallied by...
2021 Q3 Economic Recap and Rate Outlook
The biggest surprise of the third quarter was the rapid spread of the Delta variant which abruptly reversed a five-month downtrend in new Covid...
Politics Take Center Stage Despite Heavy Data Week
This week brought dozens of economic releases, but political headlines commanded the market’s attention and muffled any impact the data might have...