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Economic Commentary

Latest Insights

Lingering Producer Inflation Adds Market Jitters

The widely accepted narrative that inflation is under control was disrupted this morning as wholesale prices prove stickier than expected....

VIDEO: Muni Minute – When Does the Fed Cut Again?

In the latest Muni Minute, Greg Warner, CTP and Scott McIntyre, CFA — Co-Heads of Investment Management at HilltopSecurities Asset...

Supreme Court Says No to Reciprocal Tariffs

In a 6-3 vote, the U.S. Supreme Court announced this morning it had struck down President Trump’s “reciprocal tariffs,” ruling...

Q4 GDP: Weak Finish to a Good Year

Late is better than never, but today’s fourth quarter GDP release was underwhelming. After a year of broad-based strength, most...

January Fed Minutes Prove Uneventful

This afternoon’s release of the January FOMC minutes reflect Fed officials trying to navigate an economy that begins the year...

Bonds Rally as Core CPI Falls to a Five-Year Low

Consumer inflation continues to cool as the overall consumer price index (CPI) rose by just +0.2% in January and +2.4%...

US Job Growth Accelerates in January

The January employment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics delivered a strong reading, with payrolls rising 130k against a...

Bond Yields Fall as Both Spending and Compensation Cool

Bonds rallied this morning, sending Treasury yields lower across the curve on news that consumer spending had stalled in December...

Private Sector Data Reinforce Labor Market Slump

The ongoing partial government shutdown has delayed the release of the government employment report for January, but this week’s private...

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Commentary Overview

Municipal Commentary

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