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Economic Commentary
Future Inflation Likely to be Much Warmer, but January Prices are Still Cool
Consumer prices were well behaved in January as headline CPI climbed by +0.3% and core CPI was unchanged for the second straight month. Energy prices...
Weakening Labor Picture Strengthens Stimulus Bid
The January employment report was a disappointment with just 49k jobs added to company payrolls, less than half of the median forecast. The...
Purchasing Managers Expect Better Days
This morning, the non-manufacturing ISM report showed rising optimism among service sector purchasing managers. The overall index rose from 57.7 to...
Rising Income and Elevated Savings Bode Well for Future Spending
Most analysts expect continued deceleration in the pace of GDP growth in the first quarter of 2021, but recent data and encouraging vaccine progress...
Fed Stands Pat; Powell Dodges GameStop Question
In the official statement released this afternoon at the conclusion of the two-day FOMC meeting, Fed officials acknowledged that the pace of economic...