Economic Commentary - HilltopSecurities

By Scott McIntyre, CFA

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Economic Commentary

Latest Insights

Huge Payroll Gain Defies Recession Claim

U.S. companies added an eye-popping +528k jobs to nonfarm payrolls in July, more than doubling the median forecast, while the...

Purchasing Managers Surveys Signal Improvement

This morning, the ISM nonmanufacturing survey showed purchasing managers in the service sector are seeing improvement in a number of...

Hawkish Fed Talk Drives Yields Higher

San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly threw cold water on the recent Treasury rally in an interview this morning with...

Negative Q2 GDP Signals Technical Recession

The U.S. economy unexpectedly contracted for the second straight quarter. Although this doesn’t necessarily mean the country is in recession,...

Fed Boosts Overnight Target by 75

The financial markets breathed a sigh of relief after Fed officials voted unanimously to raise the fed funds target rate...

Consumer Spending Rises Along with Inflation

Retail sales rose +1.0% in June, bettering the +0.7% median forecast, as spending on gasoline, autos, restaurants and e-commerce all...

Markets Sell Off on Another Hot Inflation Report

The headline consumer price index (CPI) rose +1.3% month-over-month in June, topping forecasts with the largest single month increase since...

Solid Labor Market Report Points to 75 bp Move this Month

The June employment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics was stronger-than-expected, indicating the U.S. economy remains stubbornly resilient despite...

Economic Summary – Q2 2022

The second quarter of 2022 looked a lot like the first…only worse. The inflation rate continued to climb, and investors...

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