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Economic Commentary
No Surprise: Consumer Inflation Soars to 39-year High
The consumer price index (CPI) rose +0.8% in November, dragging the year-over-year headline increase up from +6.2% to +6.8%, the highest since 1982....
Jobless Claims Plunge to 50-year Low
This morning, initial jobless claims for the week ending December 4th dropped to 184,000, the lowest weekly count since 1969. These claims represent...
Conflicting Labor Report to Test Fed Resolve
Fed officials are generally expected to announce an increase in the QE taper pace on December 15th, but this morning’s apparently weak (but maybe not...
ISM Hints at Easing Bottlenecks
The headline ISM Manufacturing Index climbed from 60.8 to 61.1 in the November survey, continuing to indicate historically strong factory demand,...
Markets Swing on Omicron Uncertainty and Powell’s Take
The short end of the bond market, which takes its cue from expected Fed policy, has swung wildly in recent days as it grapples with persistently high...