Latest Updates: Related to Inflation

Yields Climb as Powell Acknowledges Economic Strength and Persistent Inflation


The two-year Treasury note yield topped 5% for the first time since June 2007 yesterday, nearly a full percentage point above post-FOMC lows reached just over a month ago. The 10-year Treasury yield climbed back above 4% briefly last week for the first time since last November, dragging the 2’s/10’s spread to its widest negative point in 40 years. Normally, yield curve inversion has been a reliable signal of impending recession, but the current cycle is far from normal.

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