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Unexpected Warming of Core Inflation Reduces Possibility of Larger Cut

09/11/2024

Lower energy prices restrained the overall consumer price index (CPI) in August, but the more important core CPI came in warmer than expected, further reducing the slim possibility of a 50 basis point cut at next week’s Fed meeting. Headline consumer prices rose by +0.2% for the second straight month, according to BLS data, exactly matching expectations. Energy prices were -0.8% lower in August and -4.0% over the past year. Overall food prices rose by just +0.1%, with the food at home (groceries) component unchanged and food away from home (restaurants) up +0.3%.

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