Economic Commentary - HilltopSecurities

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Economic Commentary

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Fed Cuts Rates, Signals Shift Toward Neutral

By a vote of 11–1, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) lowered the federal funds target range by 25 basis...

Jobless Claims Surge while CPI is no Worse than Expected

The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in slightly above forecast for August, but other major CPI data points matched...

Markets Shrug Off Indication of Further Labor Market Weakness

The first estimate of the annual benchmark revision by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) indicated -911k fewer jobs were...

Labor Market Stalls Again, Eyes Turn to Inflation Data

The markets responded quickly to another disappointing jobs report, with Treasury yields falling and rate cut expectations rising. Nonfarm payrolls...

Yields Decline as More Labor Market Cracks Emerge

Total job openings in the July JOLT survey unexpectedly fell by -176k to 7.18 million, the lowest since December 2020...

A Modest Rise in Inflation Keeps September Cut Intact

The Fed’s preferred inflation measure continued to edge higher in August, although not enough to persuade Fed officials to abandon...

Home Price Growth Stalls While Durable Goods Orders Beat Expectations

Home price data released today, along with other housing indicators from this week and last, continue to highlight weakness in...

Financial Markets Rally as Powell Signals September Cut

At last year’s annual Economic Policy Symposium in Jackson Hole Wyoming, Fed Chair Jay Powell set the stage for reducing...

Retail Sales Up in July, Boosted by E-Commerce Surge

Retail sales and food services rose 0.5% in July, slightly below expectations but supported by a strong upward revision to...

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