Economic Commentary - HilltopSecurities

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Economic Commentary

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Private Sector Data Reinforce Labor Market Slump

The ongoing partial government shutdown has delayed the release of the government employment report for January, but this week’s private...

Is the Other Kevin the Right Pick for Fed Chair?

This morning, President Trump announced his choice to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair - former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh....

Fed Holds Rates First Time in Six Months

Last year, the Fed cut rates at each of its final three meetings. Today, they met and held rates steady,...

Markets Rebound as President Trump Speaks in Davos and The Supreme Court Meets on Governor Cook

President Trump arrived at the World Economic Forum in Davos today facing resistance from European leaders as he continued pushing...

Bonds Little Changed After Delayed Retail Sales and PPI Reports

In the delayed November report, retail sales rose a solid +0.6%, topping the +0.5% median forecast and rebounding from a...

Bonds Steady After December CPI as Investors Await Tariff Ruling

The December Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in on the cool side of expectations, although the bond market’s muted reaction...

Mixed Employment Report to Keep Fed Squarely on Hold

The December labor report indicated the divide between company payroll growth and unemployment continues to widen. Fed officials will take...

POTUS’ Call for $200B in (GSE?) MBS Purchases – Potential Market Impact

What happened? President Trump wrote a social media post late Thursday afternoon that he had asked his representatives (presumably the...

Lower Trade Deficit and Improved Labor Outlook Support Fed Pause

The U.S. trade deficit for October unexpectedly plunged from $48.1b to $29.4b, the smallest since 2009. Analysts were, once again,...

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