Economic Commentary - HilltopSecurities

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Economic Commentary

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Economic Summary – Q1 2026

The U.S. economy entered 2026 with momentum appearing to slow, although business spending (driven by A.I. infrastructure investment) and consumer...

Payrolls Score Solid Bounce Back in March

U.S. companies added +178k jobs last month, well above the +65k median forecast. At the same time, the February payroll...

It’s Deja Vu All Over Again as President’s Speech Sends Crude Oil Skyrocketing

The financial markets had struck an optimistic tone the past two days in anticipation of President Trump’s prime time speech...

Yields Edge Lower as Retail & Manufacturing Surprise to the Upside

Treasury yields are slightly lower this morning while stocks are higher following stronger-than-expected economic data to start the month. February...

Blind Hope Rallies Markets

Both stocks and bonds are rallying today while crude oil prices are lower after American and Israeli news outlets reported...

FOMC On Hold As They Cite Uncertainty

As expected, the FOMC left their target fed funds rate unchanged in a range of 3.50%-3.75%. The 11-1 vote had...

Hot February PPI Squashes Whatever Remains of Near-Term Rate Cut Hopes

This morning’s release of the February producer price index (PPI) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) came in hotter...

Growth Continues to Slow, While Inflation Remains Sticky

It’s Friday the 13th, and with that comes a flurry of economic data to close out a volatile week in...

Lukewarm February CPI Expected to Heat up in March

This morning’s release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) indicated the pace of inflation held at a moderate level, with...

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