Economic Commentary - HilltopSecurities

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Economic Commentary

Latest Insights

Fed Pause Continues as the Warsh Era Begins

The first FOMC meeting for new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh began with Fed officials voting unanimously to hold the overnight...

Inflation Rises to 3 Year High as Energy Prices Remain Elevated

Inflation remained firm in May, with headline prices rising to a three-year high, even as some underlying components began to...

Yields Higher as Labor Market Strength Reshapes Fed Outlook

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a much stronger than expected May jobs report today, pushing bond yields higher across...

U.S. Purchasing Managers Signal Higher Growth and Prices

The latest survey from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) indicated the service sector had accelerated in May with the...

Markets Ignore Soft Data to Rally on Renewed Hope for Ceasefire

Despite a flurry of recent data releases suggesting a softening economy and increased price pressure, equity markets have rallied to...

VIDEO: Muni Minute — Fed Outlook for Remainder of 2026

In the latest Muni Minute, Greg Warner, CTP and Scott McIntyre, CFA — Co-Heads of Investment Management at HilltopSecurities Asset...

Bond Yields Spike as Questionable Summit Outcome Increases Uncertainty

Bond yields moved sharply higher today across the curve while stocks retreated from yesterday’s record highs.

Rising Prices Drive April Retail Sales

U.S. consumers curtailed their spending last month, although the overall pace was still historically solid and a bit better than...

Producer Prices Surge on Rising Energy Costs

The April Producer Price Index (PPI) was much hotter than expected as the sustained increase in energy prices bleeds through...

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