Economic Commentary - HilltopSecurities

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Economic Commentary

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August CPI Raises the Odds of a Rate Hike Next Week

The August Consumer Price Index offered both the good and the bad. The good news is that underlying inflation continues...

Bond Yields Climb as Crude Soars

Producer prices reaccelerated in August, following two months of easing pressure. Although an expected rebound in energy prices drove the...

Crude Above $100 Leaves Fed Facing an Unwelcome Tradeoff

The brief summer downturn in inflation has ended, and the financial markets are anticipating the FOMC will address the recent...

Unexpectedly Solid Employment Report Increases Odds of a September Hike

U.S. companies added +162k jobs last month, nearly triple the median forecast, while revisions to the June/July count added another...

VIDEO: Muni Minute — The Market Doesn’t Predict. The Market Reflects.

In the latest Muni Minute, Greg Warner, CTP and Scott McIntyre, CFA — Co-Heads of Investment Management at HilltopSecurities Asset...

July Minutes Highlight Hawkish Undercurrents at the Fed

This afternoon, the minutes from the July 29 FOMC meeting showed Fed officials were primarily focused on inflation risks, with...

Retail Sales Stumble in July

Last week’s disappointing jobs report raised questions about the strength of the labor market, while Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index release...

Benign CPI Report Reinforces Fed’s Wait-and-See Approach

Core CPI, which strips out the cost of both food and energy, climbed +0.2% in July, bringing the annual pace...

Yields Lower on Weak July Jobs Report

US businesses shed -23k jobs in July, falling well below estimates of +80k. In fact, not one economist ahead of...

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