Economic Commentary - HilltopSecurities

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Economic Commentary

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Inflation Takes a Breather: June CPI Surprises to the Downside

Consumer prices surprised to the downside in June as falling energy costs pushed headline CPI down 0.4%, double the expected...

US Economic Update: Second Quarter 2026

The second quarter economic theme was surprisingly uncomplicated. As the war with Iran continued, rising crude oil prices pushed headline...

June FOMC Minutes Reaffirm Fed’s Wait-and-See Approach

The minutes of the June 16–17 FOMC meeting, released yesterday afternoon, revealed Fed officials remain firmly in a wait-and-see mode...

Growth Moderates as Price Pressures Ease

An initial batch of June economic data showed the U.S. economy entering the third quarter on solid ground, although momentum...

Mixed June Labor Report Should Keep Fed Sidelined

U.S. businesses added +57k jobs to nonfarm payrolls in June, well below the +113k median forecast, while the previous two...

Tumbling Energy Prices Reduce Likelihood of Fed Tightening

The price for WTI crude oil is currently trading below $70 per barrel, down from $95 at the beginning of...

Growth Revised Higher with Sticky Inflation

A wave of economic data this morning showed economic growth revised higher while business investment remained firm.

Markets Rally on Ceasefire Agreement

President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian signed a 14-point memorandum of understanding today at the G7 Summit in Versailles,...

Fed Pause Continues as the Warsh Era Begins

The first FOMC meeting for new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh began with Fed officials voting unanimously to hold the overnight...

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