Economic Commentary - HilltopSecurities

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Economic Commentary

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Crude Above $100 Leaves Fed Facing an Unwelcome Tradeoff

The brief summer downturn in inflation has ended, and the financial markets are anticipating the FOMC will address the recent...

Unexpectedly Solid Employment Report Increases Odds of a September Hike

U.S. companies added +162k jobs last month, nearly triple the median forecast, while revisions to the June/July count added another...

VIDEO: Muni Minute — The Market Doesn’t Predict. The Market Reflects.

In the latest Muni Minute, Greg Warner, CTP and Scott McIntyre, CFA — Co-Heads of Investment Management at HilltopSecurities Asset...

July Minutes Highlight Hawkish Undercurrents at the Fed

This afternoon, the minutes from the July 29 FOMC meeting showed Fed officials were primarily focused on inflation risks, with...

Retail Sales Stumble in July

Last week’s disappointing jobs report raised questions about the strength of the labor market, while Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index release...

Benign CPI Report Reinforces Fed’s Wait-and-See Approach

Core CPI, which strips out the cost of both food and energy, climbed +0.2% in July, bringing the annual pace...

Yields Lower on Weak July Jobs Report

US businesses shed -23k jobs in July, falling well below estimates of +80k. In fact, not one economist ahead of...

Markets Eye Jobs Report After Positive ISM Readings

Strong corporate earnings and consumer spending, along with this week’s ISM data, have supported the market as attention shifts to...

GDP Slows to 1.5% Despite Stronger Consumer Demand

The Bureau of Economic Analysis released the first estimate of second-quarter GDP, and the final June inflation report this morning....

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