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Economic Commentary

Latest Insights

Retail Sales Stumble in July

Last week’s disappointing jobs report raised questions about the strength of the labor market, while Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index release...

Benign CPI Report Reinforces Fed’s Wait-and-See Approach

Core CPI, which strips out the cost of both food and energy, climbed +0.2% in July, bringing the annual pace...

Yields Lower on Weak July Jobs Report

US businesses shed -23k jobs in July, falling well below estimates of +80k. In fact, not one economist ahead of...

Markets Eye Jobs Report After Positive ISM Readings

Strong corporate earnings and consumer spending, along with this week’s ISM data, have supported the market as attention shifts to...

GDP Slows to 1.5% Despite Stronger Consumer Demand

The Bureau of Economic Analysis released the first estimate of second-quarter GDP, and the final June inflation report this morning....

Fed Holds Steady as Oil Prices Climb

By a 9-3 count, Fed officials voted to hold the overnight target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% for the fifth straight...

New Home Sales Up but Housing Still Stuck in Low Gear

The housing market has been stuck in low gear for the last couple years, caught between elevated mortgage rates and...

Fed Members Voice Inflation Concern Before Next Week’s FOMC Meeting

The July FOMC meeting begins next Tuesday and concludes on Wednesday afternoon. Although committee members are widely expected to hold...

Lower Gas Prices Slow June Retail Sales

After this week's cooler-than-expected CPI and PPI reports, June retail sales delivered another signal that inflation pressures may be easing.

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