Economic Commentary - HilltopSecurities

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Economic Commentary

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GDP Slows to 1.5% Despite Stronger Consumer Demand

The Bureau of Economic Analysis released the first estimate of second-quarter GDP, and the final June inflation report this morning....

Fed Holds Steady as Oil Prices Climb

By a 9-3 count, Fed officials voted to hold the overnight target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% for the fifth straight...

New Home Sales Up but Housing Still Stuck in Low Gear

The housing market has been stuck in low gear for the last couple years, caught between elevated mortgage rates and...

Fed Members Voice Inflation Concern Before Next Week’s FOMC Meeting

The July FOMC meeting begins next Tuesday and concludes on Wednesday afternoon. Although committee members are widely expected to hold...

Lower Gas Prices Slow June Retail Sales

After this week's cooler-than-expected CPI and PPI reports, June retail sales delivered another signal that inflation pressures may be easing.

Wholesale Prices Fall in June

A key inflation indicator came in cooler-than-expected for the second straight day, further reducing the probability of a near-term rate...

Inflation Takes a Breather: June CPI Surprises to the Downside

Consumer prices surprised to the downside in June as falling energy costs pushed headline CPI down 0.4%, double the expected...

US Economic Update: Second Quarter 2026

The second quarter economic theme was surprisingly uncomplicated. As the war with Iran continued, rising crude oil prices pushed headline...

June FOMC Minutes Reaffirm Fed’s Wait-and-See Approach

The minutes of the June 16–17 FOMC meeting, released yesterday afternoon, revealed Fed officials remain firmly in a wait-and-see mode...

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