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Economic Commentary

Latest Insights

Supreme Court Says No to Reciprocal Tariffs

In a 6-3 vote, the U.S. Supreme Court announced this morning it had struck down President Trump’s “reciprocal tariffs,” ruling...

Q4 GDP: Weak Finish to a Good Year

Late is better than never, but today’s fourth quarter GDP release was underwhelming. After a year of broad-based strength, most...

January Fed Minutes Prove Uneventful

This afternoon’s release of the January FOMC minutes reflect Fed officials trying to navigate an economy that begins the year...

Bonds Rally as Core CPI Falls to a Five-Year Low

Consumer inflation continues to cool as the overall consumer price index (CPI) rose by just +0.2% in January and +2.4%...

US Job Growth Accelerates in January

The January employment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics delivered a strong reading, with payrolls rising 130k against a...

Bond Yields Fall as Both Spending and Compensation Cool

Bonds rallied this morning, sending Treasury yields lower across the curve on news that consumer spending had stalled in December...

Private Sector Data Reinforce Labor Market Slump

The ongoing partial government shutdown has delayed the release of the government employment report for January, but this week’s private...

Is the Other Kevin the Right Pick for Fed Chair?

This morning, President Trump announced his choice to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair - former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh....

Fed Holds Rates First Time in Six Months

Last year, the Fed cut rates at each of its final three meetings. Today, they met and held rates steady,...

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