Economic Commentary - HilltopSecurities

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Economic Commentary

Latest Insights

Mixed June Labor Report Should Keep Fed Sidelined

U.S. businesses added +57k jobs to nonfarm payrolls in June, well below the +113k median forecast, while the previous two...

Tumbling Energy Prices Reduce Likelihood of Fed Tightening

The price for WTI crude oil is currently trading below $70 per barrel, down from $95 at the beginning of...

Growth Revised Higher with Sticky Inflation

A wave of economic data this morning showed economic growth revised higher while business investment remained firm.

Markets Rally on Ceasefire Agreement

President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian signed a 14-point memorandum of understanding today at the G7 Summit in Versailles,...

Fed Pause Continues as the Warsh Era Begins

The first FOMC meeting for new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh began with Fed officials voting unanimously to hold the overnight...

Inflation Rises to 3 Year High as Energy Prices Remain Elevated

Inflation remained firm in May, with headline prices rising to a three-year high, even as some underlying components began to...

Yields Higher as Labor Market Strength Reshapes Fed Outlook

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a much stronger than expected May jobs report today, pushing bond yields higher across...

U.S. Purchasing Managers Signal Higher Growth and Prices

The latest survey from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) indicated the service sector had accelerated in May with the...

Markets Ignore Soft Data to Rally on Renewed Hope for Ceasefire

Despite a flurry of recent data releases suggesting a softening economy and increased price pressure, equity markets have rallied to...

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